At least one person was killed and more than 60 were injured after Iran launched missiles and drones at Kuwait and Bahrain overnight. CENTCO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
| YES PRICE AT VERDICT | 0.0335 |
| VERDICT DIRECTION | NO |
| VERDICT CONFIDENCE | 0.8050 |
| VERDICT TYPE | unanimous |
| CATEGORY | international |
| HOURS TO CLOSE | 274.9h |
L |
NO · 70% |
Q |
NO · 85% |
S |
NO · 100% · n=34 |
Each row is one independent juror. L and Q are the language-model jurors; S is the non-LLM statistical baseline. The aggregated direction above is the majority verdict.
[ PENDING — counterfactual validation runs at verdict.ts + 24h ]
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[ buchiang@v1 // alpha1-sig-9011 ]