[ VERDICT // alpha1-sig-9992 ]

2026-06-11T11:16:13Z · 方法论: /methodology

[ ← 更早 ] [ 返回列表 ] [ 更新 → ]
NO · 55% UNANIMOUS [ PEND · 24H ]

News trigger

U.S. launches second day of Iran strikes. And, World Cup facts to know before kickoff

npr · ↗ original article

Market

Iran closes its airspace by June 15?

YES PRICE AT VERDICT0.9990
VERDICT DIRECTIONNO
VERDICT CONFIDENCE0.5500
VERDICT TYPEunanimous
CATEGORYinternational
HOURS TO CLOSE84.8h

Jury split

L NO · 70%
Q NEUTRAL · 0%
S NO · 100% · n=34

Each row is one independent juror. L and Q are the language-model jurors; S is the non-LLM statistical baseline. The aggregated direction above is the majority verdict.

Outcome

[ PENDING — counterfactual validation runs at verdict.ts + 24h ]

User votes

—

[ ← 更早 ] [ 返回列表 ] [ 更新 → ]

[ buchiang@v1 // alpha1-sig-9992 ]