[ VERDICT // alpha1-sig-9956 ]

2026-06-11T08:41:36Z · 方法论: /methodology

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NO · 76% UNANIMOUS [ PEND · 24H ]

News trigger

Another tanker appears to have been struck in the Gulf of Oman, following attacks by the US on two other vessels in the area earlier this we

x_list · ↗ original article

Market

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

YES PRICE AT VERDICT0.0055
VERDICT DIRECTIONNO
VERDICT CONFIDENCE0.7562
VERDICT TYPEunanimous
CATEGORYinternational
HOURS TO CLOSE87.3h

Jury split

L NO · 70%
Q NO · 85%
S NEUTRAL · 0%

Each row is one independent juror. L and Q are the language-model jurors; S is the non-LLM statistical baseline. The aggregated direction above is the majority verdict.

Outcome

[ PENDING — counterfactual validation runs at verdict.ts + 24h ]

User votes

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[ buchiang@v1 // alpha1-sig-9956 ]