[ VERDICT // alpha1-sig-9652 ]

2026-06-09T19:23:18Z · Methodology: /methodology

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NO · 38% UNANIMOUS [ PEND · 24H ]

News trigger

Professor Max @Tegmark saw it coming. Years before OpenAI and Anthropic opened their doors, he was already warning about the risks AI coul

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Market

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?

YES PRICE AT VERDICT0.9995
VERDICT DIRECTIONNO
VERDICT CONFIDENCE0.3750
VERDICT TYPEunanimous
CATEGORYinternational
HOURS TO CLOSE124.8h

Jury split

L NO · 60%
Q NEUTRAL · 0%
S NEUTRAL · 0%

Each row is one independent juror. L and Q are the language-model jurors; S is the non-LLM statistical baseline. The aggregated direction above is the majority verdict.

Outcome

[ PENDING — counterfactual validation runs at verdict.ts + 24h ]

User votes

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[ buchiang@v1 // alpha1-sig-9652 ]