Two US pilots whose helicopter crashed near the Strait of Hormuz ‘are fine,’ President Trump said after the New York Times reported the crew
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
| YES PRICE AT VERDICT | 0.0115 |
| VERDICT DIRECTION | NO |
| VERDICT CONFIDENCE | 0.6650 |
| VERDICT TYPE | unanimous |
| CATEGORY | international |
| HOURS TO CLOSE | 137.3h |
L |
NO · 60% |
Q |
NO · 55% |
S |
NO · 100% · n=23 |
Each row is one independent juror. L and Q are the language-model jurors; S is the non-LLM statistical baseline. The aggregated direction above is the majority verdict.
[ PENDING — counterfactual validation runs at verdict.ts + 24h ]
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[ buchiang@v1 // alpha1-sig-9531 ]