[ VERDICT // alpha1-sig-9251 ]

2026-06-06T11:01:12Z · Methodology: /methodology

[ ← OLDER ] [ BACK TO LIST ] [ NEWER → ]
NO · 72% UNANIMOUS [ PEND · 24H ]

News trigger

No longer reluctant, industry executives are on the ground in Venezuela looking for deals. The Iran war has helped.

x_list · ↗ original article

Market

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

YES PRICE AT VERDICT0.0155
VERDICT DIRECTIONNO
VERDICT CONFIDENCE0.7250
VERDICT TYPEunanimous
CATEGORYinternational
HOURS TO CLOSE205.4h

Jury split

L NO · 60%
Q NO · 75%
S NO · 100% · n=33

Each row is one independent juror. L and Q are the language-model jurors; S is the non-LLM statistical baseline. The aggregated direction above is the majority verdict.

Outcome

[ PENDING — counterfactual validation runs at verdict.ts + 24h ]

User votes

—

[ ← OLDER ] [ BACK TO LIST ] [ NEWER → ]

[ buchiang@v1 // alpha1-sig-9251 ]