OPEC crude output fell last month, hitting its lowest level in decades as the US blockade of Iran and disruption in the Persian Gulf continu
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
| YES PRICE AT VERDICT | 0.0265 |
| VERDICT DIRECTION | NO |
| VERDICT CONFIDENCE | 0.8050 |
| VERDICT TYPE | unanimous |
| CATEGORY | international |
| HOURS TO CLOSE | 225.9h |
L |
NO · 70% |
Q |
NO · 85% |
S |
NO · 100% · n=36 |
Each row is one independent juror. L and Q are the language-model jurors; S is the non-LLM statistical baseline. The aggregated direction above is the majority verdict.
[ PENDING — counterfactual validation runs at verdict.ts + 24h ]
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[ buchiang@v1 // alpha1-sig-9214 ]