[ VERDICT // alpha1-sig-9198 ]

2026-06-05T10:13:01Z · Methodology: /methodology

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NO · 17% UNANIMOUS [ PEND · 24H ]

News trigger

Scientists warn Trump plan to axe US ocean monitoring system will leave world ‘flying blind’

guardian · ↗ original article

Market

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

YES PRICE AT VERDICT0.0255
VERDICT DIRECTIONNO
VERDICT CONFIDENCE0.1733
VERDICT TYPEunanimous
CATEGORYinternational
HOURS TO CLOSE229.9h

Jury split

L NEUTRAL · 0%
Q NEUTRAL · 0%
S NO · 87% · n=15

Each row is one independent juror. L and Q are the language-model jurors; S is the non-LLM statistical baseline. The aggregated direction above is the majority verdict.

Outcome

[ PENDING — counterfactual validation runs at verdict.ts + 24h ]

User votes

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[ buchiang@v1 // alpha1-sig-9198 ]