[ VERDICT // alpha1-sig-9101 ]

2026-06-04T07:50:40Z · Methodology: /methodology

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NO · 72% UNANIMOUS [ PEND · 24H ]

News trigger

Polymarket says No for May, Yes for June after Strategy's recent bitcoin sale

coindesk · ↗ original article

Market

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 1-7?

YES PRICE AT VERDICT0.3545
VERDICT DIRECTIONNO
VERDICT CONFIDENCE0.7150
VERDICT TYPEunanimous
CATEGORYcrypto_prices
HOURS TO CLOSE92.4h

Jury split

L NO · 70%
Q NO · 55%
S NO · 100% · n=5

Each row is one independent juror. L and Q are the language-model jurors; S is the non-LLM statistical baseline. The aggregated direction above is the majority verdict.

Outcome

[ PENDING — counterfactual validation runs at verdict.ts + 24h ]

User votes

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[ buchiang@v1 // alpha1-sig-9101 ]