[ VERDICT // alpha1-sig-9066 ]

2026-06-03T22:20:08Z · 方法论: /methodology

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NO · 72% UNANIMOUS [ PEND · 24H ]

News trigger

President Trump told @mirandadevine in a “Pod Force One” interview that he expects to meet Iranian Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei and the

x_list · ↗ original article

Market

Iran closes its airspace by June 15?

YES PRICE AT VERDICT0.1365
VERDICT DIRECTIONNO
VERDICT CONFIDENCE0.7250
VERDICT TYPEunanimous
CATEGORYinternational
HOURS TO CLOSE265.9h

Jury split

L NO · 60%
Q NO · 75%
S NO · 100% · n=15

Each row is one independent juror. L and Q are the language-model jurors; S is the non-LLM statistical baseline. The aggregated direction above is the majority verdict.

Outcome

[ PENDING — counterfactual validation runs at verdict.ts + 24h ]

User votes

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[ buchiang@v1 // alpha1-sig-9066 ]