[ VERDICT // alpha1-sig-8908 ]

2026-06-02T19:03:15Z · Methodology: /methodology

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NO · 20% UNANIMOUS [ PEND · 24H ]

News trigger

NEW: Sam Altman reveals OpenAI’s top “token leader” uses 100,000,000,000 tokens per month — and still isn’t the highest user in the world.

x_list · ↗ original article

Market

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

YES PRICE AT VERDICT0.0335
VERDICT DIRECTIONNO
VERDICT CONFIDENCE0.2000
VERDICT TYPEunanimous
CATEGORYinternational
HOURS TO CLOSE293.4h

Jury split

L NEUTRAL · 0%
Q NEUTRAL · 0%
S NO · 100% · n=11

Each row is one independent juror. L and Q are the language-model jurors; S is the non-LLM statistical baseline. The aggregated direction above is the majority verdict.

Outcome

[ PENDING — counterfactual validation runs at verdict.ts + 24h ]

User votes

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[ buchiang@v1 // alpha1-sig-8908 ]