[ VERDICT // alpha1-sig-8897 ]

2026-06-02T16:26:09Z · 方法论: /methodology

[ ← 更早 ] [ 返回列表 ] [ 更新 → ]
NO · 16% UNANIMOUS [ PEND · 24H ]

News trigger

Trump signs executive order seeking early access to new AI releases

guardian · ↗ original article

Market

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

YES PRICE AT VERDICT0.0365
VERDICT DIRECTIONNO
VERDICT CONFIDENCE0.1636
VERDICT TYPEunanimous
CATEGORYinternational
HOURS TO CLOSE295.9h

Jury split

L NEUTRAL · 0%
Q NEUTRAL · 0%
S NO · 82% · n=11

Each row is one independent juror. L and Q are the language-model jurors; S is the non-LLM statistical baseline. The aggregated direction above is the majority verdict.

Outcome

[ PENDING — counterfactual validation runs at verdict.ts + 24h ]

User votes

—

[ ← 更早 ] [ 返回列表 ] [ 更新 → ]

[ buchiang@v1 // alpha1-sig-8897 ]