[ VERDICT // alpha1-sig-8885 ]

2026-06-02T13:17:53Z · 方法论: /methodology

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NO · 66% UNANIMOUS [ PEND · 24H ]

News trigger

Oil markets are stuck in limbo as US–Iran talks shift by the day. Why are traders watching beyond the headlines. Listen on the Reuters Morni

x_list · ↗ original article

Market

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

YES PRICE AT VERDICT0.0380
VERDICT DIRECTIONNO
VERDICT CONFIDENCE0.6650
VERDICT TYPEunanimous
CATEGORYinternational
HOURS TO CLOSE298.9h

Jury split

L NO · 60%
Q NO · 55%
S NO · 100% · n=34

Each row is one independent juror. L and Q are the language-model jurors; S is the non-LLM statistical baseline. The aggregated direction above is the majority verdict.

Outcome

[ PENDING — counterfactual validation runs at verdict.ts + 24h ]

User votes

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[ buchiang@v1 // alpha1-sig-8885 ]