[ VERDICT // alpha1-sig-8884 ]

2026-06-02T13:15:32Z · Methodology: /methodology

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NO · 17% UNANIMOUS [ PEND · 24H ]

News trigger

Strategy's bitcoin sale may mark start of ether outperformance, StanChart's Kendrick says

coindesk · ↗ original article

Market

Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

YES PRICE AT VERDICT0.0600
VERDICT DIRECTIONNO
VERDICT CONFIDENCE0.1667
VERDICT TYPEunanimous
CATEGORYinternational
HOURS TO CLOSE298.9h

Jury split

L NEUTRAL · 0%
Q NEUTRAL · 0%
S NO · 83% · n=12

Each row is one independent juror. L and Q are the language-model jurors; S is the non-LLM statistical baseline. The aggregated direction above is the majority verdict.

Outcome

[ PENDING — counterfactual validation runs at verdict.ts + 24h ]

User votes

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[ buchiang@v1 // alpha1-sig-8884 ]