[ VERDICT // alpha1-sig-8880 ]

2026-06-02T12:15:34Z · Methodology: /methodology

[ ← OLDER ] [ BACK TO LIST ] [ NEWER → ]
NO · 20% UNANIMOUS [ PEND · 24H ]

News trigger

Bitcoin ETF outflows are noise as Wall Street doubles down on crypto, says analyst

coindesk · ↗ original article

Market

Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

YES PRICE AT VERDICT0.0650
VERDICT DIRECTIONNO
VERDICT CONFIDENCE0.2000
VERDICT TYPEunanimous
CATEGORYinternational
HOURS TO CLOSE299.9h

Jury split

L NEUTRAL · 0%
Q NEUTRAL · 0%
S NO · 100% · n=11

Each row is one independent juror. L and Q are the language-model jurors; S is the non-LLM statistical baseline. The aggregated direction above is the majority verdict.

Outcome

[ PENDING — counterfactual validation runs at verdict.ts + 24h ]

User votes

—

[ ← OLDER ] [ BACK TO LIST ] [ NEWER → ]

[ buchiang@v1 // alpha1-sig-8880 ]