European natural-gas prices fell after President Trump said talks with Iran were continuing, though losses were limited by uncertainty about
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
| YES PRICE AT VERDICT | 0.1020 |
| VERDICT DIRECTION | NO |
| VERDICT CONFIDENCE | 0.7660 |
| VERDICT TYPE | unanimous |
| CATEGORY | international |
| HOURS TO CLOSE | 304.4h |
L |
NO · 70% |
Q |
NO · 72% |
S |
NO · 100% · n=34 |
Each row is one independent juror. L and Q are the language-model jurors; S is the non-LLM statistical baseline. The aggregated direction above is the majority verdict.
[ PENDING — counterfactual validation runs at verdict.ts + 24h ]
—
[ buchiang@v1 // alpha1-sig-8860 ]