[ VERDICT // alpha1-sig-8858 ]

2026-06-02T07:30:14Z · Methodology: /methodology

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NO · 34% UNANIMOUS [ PEND · 24H ]

News trigger

BlueShadow, from Denmark, was among eight startups that demonstrated new systems and products to military units over the weekend — part of a

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Market

Iran closes its airspace by June 15?

YES PRICE AT VERDICT0.1005
VERDICT DIRECTIONNO
VERDICT CONFIDENCE0.3438
VERDICT TYPEunanimous
CATEGORYinternational
HOURS TO CLOSE304.9h

Jury split

L NO · 55%
Q NEUTRAL · 0%
S NEUTRAL · 0%

Each row is one independent juror. L and Q are the language-model jurors; S is the non-LLM statistical baseline. The aggregated direction above is the majority verdict.

Outcome

[ PENDING — counterfactual validation runs at verdict.ts + 24h ]

User votes

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[ buchiang@v1 // alpha1-sig-8858 ]