The US, Japan and South Korea are “deepening our defense cooperation to ensure our combined forces remain lethal, ready, and capable of dete
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
| YES PRICE AT VERDICT | 0.0045 |
| VERDICT DIRECTION | NO |
| VERDICT CONFIDENCE | 0.5813 |
| VERDICT TYPE | unanimous |
| CATEGORY | international |
| HOURS TO CLOSE | 35.4h |
L |
NO · 60% |
Q |
NO · 55% |
S |
NEUTRAL · 0% |
Each row is one independent juror. L and Q are the language-model jurors; S is the non-LLM statistical baseline. The aggregated direction above is the majority verdict.
[ PENDING — counterfactual validation runs at verdict.ts + 24h ]
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[ buchiang@v1 // alpha1-sig-8731 ]