America claims to have sunk at least 160 Iranian naval vessels in the course of the war. Each of these is a potential source of pollution. A
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?
| YES PRICE AT VERDICT | 0.0015 |
| VERDICT DIRECTION | NO |
| VERDICT CONFIDENCE | 0.6650 |
| VERDICT TYPE | unanimous |
| CATEGORY | international |
| HOURS TO CLOSE | 43.5h |
L |
NO · 60% |
Q |
NO · 55% |
S |
NO · 100% · n=17 |
Each row is one independent juror. L and Q are the language-model jurors; S is the non-LLM statistical baseline. The aggregated direction above is the majority verdict.
[ PENDING — counterfactual validation runs at verdict.ts + 24h ]
—
[ buchiang@v1 // alpha1-sig-8694 ]