Trump's room to maneuver narrows as US, Iran close in on framework deal http:// reut.rs/3PIEHGf
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
| YES PRICE AT VERDICT | 0.1530 |
| VERDICT DIRECTION | YES |
| VERDICT CONFIDENCE | 0.8150 |
| VERDICT TYPE | unanimous |
| CATEGORY | international |
| HOURS TO CLOSE | 38.5h |
L |
YES · 72% |
Q |
YES · 85% |
S |
YES · 100% · n=1 |
Each row is one independent juror. L and Q are the language-model jurors; S is the non-LLM statistical baseline. The aggregated direction above is the majority verdict.
[ PENDING — counterfactual validation runs at verdict.ts + 24h ]
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[ buchiang@v1 // alpha1-sig-8516 ]