[ VERDICT // alpha1-sig-8445 ]

2026-05-28T23:21:31Z · Methodology: /methodology

[ ← OLDER ] [ BACK TO LIST ] [ NEWER → ]
NO · 50% UNANIMOUS [ PEND · 24H ]

News trigger

Iran ambassador hits out at ‘country to the north’ in US World Cup visa row

aljazeera · ↗ original article

Market

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?

YES PRICE AT VERDICT0.0710
VERDICT DIRECTIONNO
VERDICT CONFIDENCE0.5000
VERDICT TYPEunanimous
CATEGORYinternational
HOURS TO CLOSE49.0h

Jury split

L NO · 60%
Q NEUTRAL · 0%
S NO · 100% · n=27

Each row is one independent juror. L and Q are the language-model jurors; S is the non-LLM statistical baseline. The aggregated direction above is the majority verdict.

Outcome

[ PENDING — counterfactual validation runs at verdict.ts + 24h ]

User votes

—

[ ← OLDER ] [ BACK TO LIST ] [ NEWER → ]

[ buchiang@v1 // alpha1-sig-8445 ]