[ VERDICT // alpha1-sig-8205 ]

2026-05-28T07:20:38Z · Methodology: /methodology

[ ← OLDER ] [ BACK TO LIST ] [ NEWER → ]
NO · 58% UNANIMOUS [ PEND · 24H ]

News trigger

Diverging trends: Ether slides below $2,000 while futures open interest hits record high of 16 million ETH

coindesk · ↗ original article

Market

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?

YES PRICE AT VERDICT0.0035
VERDICT DIRECTIONNO
VERDICT CONFIDENCE0.5813
VERDICT TYPEunanimous
CATEGORYcrypto_prices
HOURS TO CLOSE93.0h

Jury split

L NO · 60%
Q NO · 55%
S NEUTRAL · 0%

Each row is one independent juror. L and Q are the language-model jurors; S is the non-LLM statistical baseline. The aggregated direction above is the majority verdict.

Outcome

[ PENDING — counterfactual validation runs at verdict.ts + 24h ]

User votes

—

[ ← OLDER ] [ BACK TO LIST ] [ NEWER → ]

[ buchiang@v1 // alpha1-sig-8205 ]