[ VERDICT // alpha1-sig-8080 ]

2026-05-27T12:03:56Z · 방법론: /methodology

[ ← 이전 ] [ 목록으로 ] [ 다음 → ]
NO · 72% UNANIMOUS [ PEND · 24H ]

News trigger

SpaceX squeezed the Pentagon for a fivefold Starlink price hike for its kamikaze drones during the Iran war. @DavidJeans2 tells the Reuter

x_list · ↗ original article

Market

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?

YES PRICE AT VERDICT0.0125
VERDICT DIRECTIONNO
VERDICT CONFIDENCE0.7250
VERDICT TYPEunanimous
CATEGORYinternational
HOURS TO CLOSE107.9h

Jury split

L NO · 60%
Q NO · 75%
S NO · 100% · n=26

Each row is one independent juror. L and Q are the language-model jurors; S is the non-LLM statistical baseline. The aggregated direction above is the majority verdict.

Outcome

[ PENDING — counterfactual validation runs at verdict.ts + 24h ]

User votes

—

[ ← 이전 ] [ 목록으로 ] [ 다음 → ]

[ buchiang@v1 // alpha1-sig-8080 ]