[ VERDICT // alpha1-sig-7926 ]

2026-05-26T17:09:21Z · Methodology: /methodology

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NO · 20% UNANIMOUS [ PEND · 24H ]

News trigger

Iran starts to restore internet access after months-long blackout

ft · ↗ original article

Market

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

YES PRICE AT VERDICT0.0015
VERDICT DIRECTIONNO
VERDICT CONFIDENCE0.2000
VERDICT TYPEunanimous
CATEGORYinternational
HOURS TO CLOSE109.0h

Jury split

L NEUTRAL · 0%
Q NEUTRAL · 0%
S NO · 100% · n=27

Each row is one independent juror. L and Q are the language-model jurors; S is the non-LLM statistical baseline. The aggregated direction above is the majority verdict.

Outcome

[ PENDING — counterfactual validation runs at verdict.ts + 24h ]

User votes

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[ buchiang@v1 // alpha1-sig-7926 ]