[ VERDICT // alpha1-sig-7638 ]

2026-05-25T20:43:50Z · 方法论: /methodology

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NO · 21% UNANIMOUS [ PEND · 24H ]

News trigger

Just published: front page of the Financial Times, international edition, Tuesday May 26 https://ft.trib.al/MYepNke

x_list · ↗ original article

Market

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

YES PRICE AT VERDICT0.0365
VERDICT DIRECTIONNO
VERDICT CONFIDENCE0.2062
VERDICT TYPEunanimous
CATEGORYinternational
HOURS TO CLOSE123.5h

Jury split

L NEUTRAL · 0%
Q NO · 55%
S NEUTRAL · 0%

Each row is one independent juror. L and Q are the language-model jurors; S is the non-LLM statistical baseline. The aggregated direction above is the majority verdict.

Outcome

[ PENDING — counterfactual validation runs at verdict.ts + 24h ]

User votes

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[ buchiang@v1 // alpha1-sig-7638 ]