[ VERDICT // alpha1-sig-7575 ]

2026-05-25T12:48:41Z · 방법론: /methodology

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NO · 64% UNANIMOUS [ PEND · 24H ]

News trigger

NEW: Trump asks Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Pakistan, Turkey, Egypt, Jordan, & Bahrain to join the Abraham Accords.

x_list · ↗ original article

Market

US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

YES PRICE AT VERDICT0.1920
VERDICT DIRECTIONNO
VERDICT CONFIDENCE0.6438
VERDICT TYPEunanimous
CATEGORYinternational
HOURS TO CLOSE131.5h

Jury split

L NO · 70%
Q NO · 55%
S NEUTRAL · 0%

Each row is one independent juror. L and Q are the language-model jurors; S is the non-LLM statistical baseline. The aggregated direction above is the majority verdict.

Outcome

[ PENDING — counterfactual validation runs at verdict.ts + 24h ]

User votes

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[ buchiang@v1 // alpha1-sig-7575 ]