[ VERDICT // alpha1-sig-7527 ]

2026-05-25T09:53:23Z · Methodology: /methodology

[ ← OLDER ] [ BACK TO LIST ] [ NEWER → ]
YES · 78% UNANIMOUS [ PEND · 24H ]

News trigger

Gold rises as dollar, oil ease on US-Iran deal prospects http:// reut.rs/3Rkq3Wb

x_list · ↗ original article

Market

US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

YES PRICE AT VERDICT0.1570
VERDICT DIRECTIONYES
VERDICT CONFIDENCE0.7760
VERDICT TYPEunanimous
CATEGORYinternational
HOURS TO CLOSE134.5h

Jury split

L YES · 72%
Q YES · 72%
S YES · 100% · n=1

Each row is one independent juror. L and Q are the language-model jurors; S is the non-LLM statistical baseline. The aggregated direction above is the majority verdict.

Outcome

[ PENDING — counterfactual validation runs at verdict.ts + 24h ]

User votes

—

[ ← OLDER ] [ BACK TO LIST ] [ NEWER → ]

[ buchiang@v1 // alpha1-sig-7527 ]