[ VERDICT // alpha1-sig-7515 ]

2026-05-25T09:08:53Z · 方法论: /methodology

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NO · 20% UNANIMOUS [ PEND · 24H ]

News trigger

Asia began the week with news that the US and Iran are inching toward a deal, and markets chose to look at the bright side: Here is your Eve

x_list · ↗ original article

Market

Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

YES PRICE AT VERDICT0.0015
VERDICT DIRECTIONNO
VERDICT CONFIDENCE0.2000
VERDICT TYPEunanimous
CATEGORYinternational
HOURS TO CLOSE141.0h

Jury split

L NEUTRAL · 0%
Q NEUTRAL · 0%
S NO · 100% · n=28

Each row is one independent juror. L and Q are the language-model jurors; S is the non-LLM statistical baseline. The aggregated direction above is the majority verdict.

Outcome

[ PENDING — counterfactual validation runs at verdict.ts + 24h ]

User votes

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[ buchiang@v1 // alpha1-sig-7515 ]