[ VERDICT // alpha1-sig-7499 ]

2026-05-25T07:53:04Z · Methodology: /methodology

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NO · 36% UNANIMOUS [ PEND · 24H ]

News trigger

Iran war day 87: Trump says US not in rush to sign deal, dashing optimism

aljazeera · ↗ original article

Market

Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

YES PRICE AT VERDICT0.0015
VERDICT DIRECTIONNO
VERDICT CONFIDENCE0.3650
VERDICT TYPEunanimous
CATEGORYinternational
HOURS TO CLOSE142.5h

Jury split

L NEUTRAL · 0%
Q NO · 55%
S NO · 100% · n=28

Each row is one independent juror. L and Q are the language-model jurors; S is the non-LLM statistical baseline. The aggregated direction above is the majority verdict.

Outcome

[ PENDING — counterfactual validation runs at verdict.ts + 24h ]

User votes

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[ buchiang@v1 // alpha1-sig-7499 ]