[ VERDICT // alpha1-sig-7448 ]

2026-05-25T06:02:50Z · 방법론: /methodology

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NO · 76% UNANIMOUS [ PEND · 24H ]

News trigger

Middle East crisis live: Rubio says US-Iran agreement ‘pretty solid’ as oil price falls amid optimism for deal

guardian · ↗ original article

Market

Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

YES PRICE AT VERDICT0.0010
VERDICT DIRECTIONNO
VERDICT CONFIDENCE0.7550
VERDICT TYPEunanimous
CATEGORYinternational
HOURS TO CLOSE144.0h

Jury split

L NO · 60%
Q NO · 85%
S NO · 100% · n=27

Each row is one independent juror. L and Q are the language-model jurors; S is the non-LLM statistical baseline. The aggregated direction above is the majority verdict.

Outcome

[ PENDING — counterfactual validation runs at verdict.ts + 24h ]

User votes

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[ buchiang@v1 // alpha1-sig-7448 ]