[ VERDICT // alpha1-sig-7213 ]

2026-05-24T12:53:19Z · 方法论: /methodology

[ ← 更早 ] [ 返回列表 ] [ 更新 → ]
YES · 66% UNANIMOUS [ PEND · 24H ]

News trigger

India, US discuss Middle East, trade as Rubio cites progress on Iran conflict http:// reut.rs/4tXxPD1

x_list · ↗ original article

Market

US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

YES PRICE AT VERDICT0.3305
VERDICT DIRECTIONYES
VERDICT CONFIDENCE0.6650
VERDICT TYPEunanimous
CATEGORYinternational
HOURS TO CLOSE155.5h

Jury split

L YES · 60%
Q YES · 55%
S YES · 100% · n=1

Each row is one independent juror. L and Q are the language-model jurors; S is the non-LLM statistical baseline. The aggregated direction above is the majority verdict.

Outcome

[ PENDING — counterfactual validation runs at verdict.ts + 24h ]

User votes

—

[ ← 更早 ] [ 返回列表 ] [ 更新 → ]

[ buchiang@v1 // alpha1-sig-7213 ]