[ VERDICT // alpha1-sig-7128 ]

2026-05-23T18:27:55Z · 방법론: /methodology

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NO · 44% UNANIMOUS [ PEND · 24H ]

News trigger

Israeli security forces made a list of thousands of militants who participated in the Oct. 7, 2023, attacks. One by one, they are being trac

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Market

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

YES PRICE AT VERDICT0.1160
VERDICT DIRECTIONNO
VERDICT CONFIDENCE0.4375
VERDICT TYPEunanimous
CATEGORYinternational
HOURS TO CLOSE173.5h

Jury split

L NO · 70%
Q NEUTRAL · 0%
S NEUTRAL · 0%

Each row is one independent juror. L and Q are the language-model jurors; S is the non-LLM statistical baseline. The aggregated direction above is the majority verdict.

Outcome

[ PENDING — counterfactual validation runs at verdict.ts + 24h ]

User votes

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[ buchiang@v1 // alpha1-sig-7128 ]