[ VERDICT // alpha1-sig-6990 ]

2026-05-22T20:12:52Z · 方法论: /methodology

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NO · 66% UNANIMOUS [ CORRECT ]

News trigger

Price predictions 5/22: BTC, ETH, BNB, XRP, SOL, DOGE, HYPE, ADA, ZEC, BCH

cointelegraph · ↗ original article

Market

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?

YES PRICE AT VERDICT0.0115
VERDICT DIRECTIONNO
VERDICT CONFIDENCE0.6625
VERDICT TYPEunanimous
CATEGORYcrypto_prices
HOURS TO CLOSE224.0h

Jury split

L NO · 70%
Q NO · 60%
S NEUTRAL · 0%

Each row is one independent juror. L and Q are the language-model jurors; S is the non-LLM statistical baseline. The aggregated direction above is the majority verdict.

Outcome

RESULT [ CORRECT ]
KINDcounterfactual_24h
HORIZON24.0h
PRICE AT CHECK0.0105
COUNTERFACTUAL P&L+$0.02
RESOLVED AT2026-05-23T20:12:52Z

User votes

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[ buchiang@v1 // alpha1-sig-6990 ]