The Royal International Air Tattoo at RAF Fairford, the UK’s biggest military air show, has been canceled this summer because US aircraft ar
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?
| YES PRICE AT VERDICT | 0.0345 |
| VERDICT DIRECTION | NO |
| VERDICT CONFIDENCE | 0.6937 |
| VERDICT TYPE | unanimous |
| CATEGORY | trump_direct |
| HOURS TO CLOSE | 201.5h |
L |
NO · 60% |
Q |
NO · 85% |
S |
NEUTRAL · 0% |
Each row is one independent juror. L and Q are the language-model jurors; S is the non-LLM statistical baseline. The aggregated direction above is the majority verdict.
[ PENDING — counterfactual validation runs at verdict.ts + 24h ]
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[ buchiang@v1 // alpha1-sig-6920 ]