[ VERDICT // alpha1-sig-6792 ]

2026-05-21T21:30:25Z · 方法论: /methodology

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NO · 77% UNANIMOUS [ PEND · 24H ]

News trigger

Anyone hitting the road this Memorial Day weekend is likely feeling the pinch at the pump, as U.S. gas prices have skyrocketed amid the war

x_list · ↗ original article

Market

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

YES PRICE AT VERDICT0.0475
VERDICT DIRECTIONNO
VERDICT CONFIDENCE0.7660
VERDICT TYPEunanimous
CATEGORYinternational
HOURS TO CLOSE218.5h

Jury split

L NO · 70%
Q NO · 72%
S NO · 100% · n=14

Each row is one independent juror. L and Q are the language-model jurors; S is the non-LLM statistical baseline. The aggregated direction above is the majority verdict.

Outcome

[ PENDING — counterfactual validation runs at verdict.ts + 24h ]

User votes

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[ buchiang@v1 // alpha1-sig-6792 ]