FERTILIZER CRISIS: The surge in fertilizer prices triggered by the war in Iran hits farmers at the worst possible time, and reinforces how t
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
| YES PRICE AT VERDICT | 0.0405 |
| VERDICT DIRECTION | NO |
| VERDICT CONFIDENCE | 0.6800 |
| VERDICT TYPE | unanimous |
| CATEGORY | international |
| HOURS TO CLOSE | 223.5h |
L |
NO · 60% |
Q |
NO · 60% |
S |
NO · 100% · n=26 |
Each row is one independent juror. L and Q are the language-model jurors; S is the non-LLM statistical baseline. The aggregated direction above is the majority verdict.
[ PENDING — counterfactual validation runs at verdict.ts + 24h ]
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[ buchiang@v1 // alpha1-sig-6775 ]