[ VERDICT // alpha1-sig-6758 ]

2026-05-21T15:27:18Z · 方法论: /methodology

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NO · 55% UNANIMOUS [ PEND · 24H ]

News trigger

Walmart warns of petrol rationing as Iran war hits customers’ wallets

ft · ↗ original article

Market

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?

YES PRICE AT VERDICT0.0650
VERDICT DIRECTIONNO
VERDICT CONFIDENCE0.5500
VERDICT TYPEunanimous
CATEGORYinternational
HOURS TO CLOSE253.0h

Jury split

L NO · 70%
Q NEUTRAL · 0%
S NO · 100% · n=26

Each row is one independent juror. L and Q are the language-model jurors; S is the non-LLM statistical baseline. The aggregated direction above is the majority verdict.

Outcome

[ PENDING — counterfactual validation runs at verdict.ts + 24h ]

User votes

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[ buchiang@v1 // alpha1-sig-6758 ]