[ VERDICT // alpha1-sig-6590 ]

2026-05-20T20:29:03Z · Methodology: /methodology

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NO · 75% UNANIMOUS [ PEND · 24H ]

News trigger

US crude and gasoline inventories fell last week on strong demand, EIA says http:// reut.rs/4dAFNf8

x_list · ↗ original article

Market

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in May?

YES PRICE AT VERDICT0.0030
VERDICT DIRECTIONNO
VERDICT CONFIDENCE0.7500
VERDICT TYPEunanimous
CATEGORYinternational
HOURS TO CLOSE271.6h

Jury split

L NO · 70%
Q NO · 75%
S NO · 88% · n=16

Each row is one independent juror. L and Q are the language-model jurors; S is the non-LLM statistical baseline. The aggregated direction above is the majority verdict.

Outcome

[ PENDING — counterfactual validation runs at verdict.ts + 24h ]

User votes

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[ buchiang@v1 // alpha1-sig-6590 ]