[ VERDICT // alpha1-sig-6581 ]

2026-05-20T18:53:26Z · 방법론: /methodology

[ ← 이전 ] [ 목록으로 ] [ 다음 → ]
NO · 72% UNANIMOUS [ PEND · 24H ]

News trigger

The US military boarded the Iranian-flagged commercial oil tanker M/T Celestial Sea in the Gulf of Oman after suspecting it violated a US bl

x_list · ↗ original article

Market

Iran closes its airspace by May 31?

YES PRICE AT VERDICT0.3050
VERDICT DIRECTIONNO
VERDICT CONFIDENCE0.7188
VERDICT TYPEunanimous
CATEGORYinternational
HOURS TO CLOSE245.6h

Jury split

L NO · 70%
Q NO · 75%
S NEUTRAL · 0%

Each row is one independent juror. L and Q are the language-model jurors; S is the non-LLM statistical baseline. The aggregated direction above is the majority verdict.

Outcome

[ PENDING — counterfactual validation runs at verdict.ts + 24h ]

User votes

—

[ ← 이전 ] [ 목록으로 ] [ 다음 → ]

[ buchiang@v1 // alpha1-sig-6581 ]