[ VERDICT // alpha1-sig-6526 ]

2026-05-20T14:47:42Z · Methodology: /methodology

[ ← OLDER ] [ BACK TO LIST ] [ NEWER → ]
NO · 58% UNANIMOUS [ PEND · 24H ]

News trigger

Democrats criticize Trump after he dismisses soaring gas prices as "peanuts"

x_list · ↗ original article

Market

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in May?

YES PRICE AT VERDICT0.0035
VERDICT DIRECTIONNO
VERDICT CONFIDENCE0.5813
VERDICT TYPEunanimous
CATEGORYinternational
HOURS TO CLOSE277.6h

Jury split

L NO · 60%
Q NO · 55%
S NEUTRAL · 0%

Each row is one independent juror. L and Q are the language-model jurors; S is the non-LLM statistical baseline. The aggregated direction above is the majority verdict.

Outcome

[ PENDING — counterfactual validation runs at verdict.ts + 24h ]

User votes

—

[ ← OLDER ] [ BACK TO LIST ] [ NEWER → ]

[ buchiang@v1 // alpha1-sig-6526 ]