JUST IN: Trump reportedly preparing to tell NATO allies that U.S. will reduce the forces it makes available to the alliance during major cri
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
| YES PRICE AT VERDICT | 0.0410 |
| VERDICT DIRECTION | NO |
| VERDICT CONFIDENCE | 0.6650 |
| VERDICT TYPE | unanimous |
| CATEGORY | international |
| HOURS TO CLOSE | 251.6h |
L |
NO · 60% |
Q |
NO · 55% |
S |
NO · 100% · n=10 |
Each row is one independent juror. L and Q are the language-model jurors; S is the non-LLM statistical baseline. The aggregated direction above is the majority verdict.
[ PENDING — counterfactual validation runs at verdict.ts + 24h ]
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[ buchiang@v1 // alpha1-sig-6507 ]