[ VERDICT // alpha1-sig-6182 ]

2026-05-19T04:18:30Z · Methodology: /methodology

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NO · 59% UNANIMOUS [ PEND · 24H ]

News trigger

Investors warn of ‘correction’ risk as high-flying stocks defy bond gloom

ft · ↗ original article

Market

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?

YES PRICE AT VERDICT0.0590
VERDICT DIRECTIONNO
VERDICT CONFIDENCE0.5938
VERDICT TYPEunanimous
CATEGORYtrump_direct
HOURS TO CLOSE283.8h

Jury split

L NO · 62%
Q NO · 55%
S NEUTRAL · 0%

Each row is one independent juror. L and Q are the language-model jurors; S is the non-LLM statistical baseline. The aggregated direction above is the majority verdict.

Outcome

[ PENDING — counterfactual validation runs at verdict.ts + 24h ]

User votes

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[ buchiang@v1 // alpha1-sig-6182 ]