[ VERDICT // alpha1-sig-5863 ]

2026-05-17T14:43:43Z · 방법론: /methodology

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YES · 20% UNANIMOUS [ PEND · 24H ]

News trigger

Trump and South Korea's Lee discuss outcome of US-China summit http:// reut.rs/4nwnD2q

x_list · ↗ original article

Market

Will Putin visit China by May 31?

YES PRICE AT VERDICT0.9990
VERDICT DIRECTIONYES
VERDICT CONFIDENCE0.2000
VERDICT TYPEunanimous
CATEGORYinternational
HOURS TO CLOSE321.3h

Jury split

L NEUTRAL · 0%
Q NEUTRAL · 0%
S YES · 100% · n=1

Each row is one independent juror. L and Q are the language-model jurors; S is the non-LLM statistical baseline. The aggregated direction above is the majority verdict.

Outcome

[ PENDING — counterfactual validation runs at verdict.ts + 24h ]

User votes

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[ buchiang@v1 // alpha1-sig-5863 ]