[ VERDICT // alpha1-sig-5752 ]

2026-05-15T12:23:44Z · 방법론: /methodology

[ ← 이전 ] [ 목록으로 ] [ 다음 → ]
NO · 38% UNANIMOUS [ PEND · 24H ]

News trigger

Trust in the government and the media are at or near record lows. We explain how that has created an opportunity for Tommy Robinson to sprea

x_list · ↗ original article

Market

Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?

YES PRICE AT VERDICT0.0035
VERDICT DIRECTIONNO
VERDICT CONFIDENCE0.3750
VERDICT TYPEunanimous
CATEGORYtrump_direct
HOURS TO CLOSE35.8h

Jury split

L NO · 60%
Q NEUTRAL · 0%
S NEUTRAL · 0%

Each row is one independent juror. L and Q are the language-model jurors; S is the non-LLM statistical baseline. The aggregated direction above is the majority verdict.

Outcome

[ PENDING — counterfactual validation runs at verdict.ts + 24h ]

User votes

—

[ ← 이전 ] [ 목록으로 ] [ 다음 → ]

[ buchiang@v1 // alpha1-sig-5752 ]