[ VERDICT // alpha1-sig-5673 ]

2026-05-13T20:50:02Z · 方法论: /methodology

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NO · 58% UNANIMOUS [ PEND · 24H ]

News trigger

The White House has released new photos of President Trump arriving in China for his landmark state visit, where he is set to meet with Pres

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Market

Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?

YES PRICE AT VERDICT0.0065
VERDICT DIRECTIONNO
VERDICT CONFIDENCE0.5813
VERDICT TYPEunanimous
CATEGORYtrump_direct
HOURS TO CLOSE27.4h

Jury split

L NO · 60%
Q NO · 55%
S NEUTRAL · 0%

Each row is one independent juror. L and Q are the language-model jurors; S is the non-LLM statistical baseline. The aggregated direction above is the majority verdict.

Outcome

[ PENDING — counterfactual validation runs at verdict.ts + 24h ]

User votes

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[ buchiang@v1 // alpha1-sig-5673 ]