[ VERDICT // alpha1-sig-5633 ]

2026-05-13T14:21:18Z · 방법론: /methodology

[ ← 이전 ] [ 목록으로 ] [ 다음 → ]
NO · 64% UNANIMOUS [ PEND · 24H ]

News trigger

NEW: Chinese Embassy warns the “Taiwan question” is the top red line that must not be crossed in U.S.-China talks.

x_list · ↗ original article

Market

Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?

YES PRICE AT VERDICT0.0075
VERDICT DIRECTIONNO
VERDICT CONFIDENCE0.6438
VERDICT TYPEunanimous
CATEGORYtrump_direct
HOURS TO CLOSE33.9h

Jury split

L NO · 70%
Q NO · 55%
S NEUTRAL · 0%

Each row is one independent juror. L and Q are the language-model jurors; S is the non-LLM statistical baseline. The aggregated direction above is the majority verdict.

Outcome

[ PENDING — counterfactual validation runs at verdict.ts + 24h ]

User votes

—

[ ← 이전 ] [ 목록으로 ] [ 다음 → ]

[ buchiang@v1 // alpha1-sig-5633 ]