[ VERDICT // alpha1-sig-4945 ]

2026-05-09T17:05:21Z · Methodology: /methodology

[ ← OLDER ] [ BACK TO LIST ] [ NEWER → ]
NO · 53% UNANIMOUS [ PEND · 24H ]

News trigger

Cirstea stuns top seed Sabalenka at the Italian Open http:// reut.rs/4nfjQXa

x_list · ↗ original article

Market

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sorana Cirstea

YES PRICE AT VERDICT0.0010
VERDICT DIRECTIONNO
VERDICT CONFIDENCE0.5312
VERDICT TYPEunanimous
CATEGORYinternational
HOURS TO CLOSE160.1h

Jury split

L NO · 85%
Q NEUTRAL · 0%
S NEUTRAL · 0%

Each row is one independent juror. L and Q are the language-model jurors; S is the non-LLM statistical baseline. The aggregated direction above is the majority verdict.

Outcome

[ PENDING — counterfactual validation runs at verdict.ts + 24h ]

User votes

—

[ ← OLDER ] [ BACK TO LIST ] [ NEWER → ]

[ buchiang@v1 // alpha1-sig-4945 ]