[ VERDICT // alpha1-sig-4888 ]

2026-05-09T11:25:25Z · 方法论: /methodology

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YES · 59% UNANIMOUS [ PEND · 24H ]

News trigger

British number one Norrie loses in Italian Open

bbc_sport · ↗ original article

Market

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Cameron Norrie

YES PRICE AT VERDICT0.9990
VERDICT DIRECTIONYES
VERDICT CONFIDENCE0.5938
VERDICT TYPEunanimous
CATEGORYinternational
HOURS TO CLOSE141.6h

Jury split

L YES · 95%
Q NEUTRAL · 0%
S NEUTRAL · 0%

Each row is one independent juror. L and Q are the language-model jurors; S is the non-LLM statistical baseline. The aggregated direction above is the majority verdict.

Outcome

[ PENDING — counterfactual validation runs at verdict.ts + 24h ]

User votes

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[ buchiang@v1 // alpha1-sig-4888 ]