[ VERDICT // alpha1-sig-4513 ]

2026-05-07T15:25:56Z · 방법론: /methodology

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NO · 66% UNANIMOUS [ PEND · 24H ]

News trigger

Iran has said that America’s latest proposal for an end to the war is “being considered”. But for the leaders of the Islamic Republic, actio

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Market

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

YES PRICE AT VERDICT0.5550
VERDICT DIRECTIONNO
VERDICT CONFIDENCE0.6625
VERDICT TYPEunanimous
CATEGORYinternational
HOURS TO CLOSE177.0h

Jury split

L NO · 70%
Q NO · 60%
S NEUTRAL · 0%

Each row is one independent juror. L and Q are the language-model jurors; S is the non-LLM statistical baseline. The aggregated direction above is the majority verdict.

Outcome

[ PENDING — counterfactual validation runs at verdict.ts + 24h ]

User votes

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[ buchiang@v1 // alpha1-sig-4513 ]