Trump says the US will help ships stranded in the Persian Gulf transit the Strait of Hormuz, describing it as a “humanitarian gesture” and t
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
| YES PRICE AT VERDICT | 0.5450 |
| VERDICT DIRECTION | YES |
| VERDICT CONFIDENCE | 0.7075 |
| VERDICT TYPE | unanimous |
| CATEGORY | international |
| HOURS TO CLOSE | 256.0h |
L |
YES · 70% |
Q |
YES · 72% |
S |
NEUTRAL · 0% |
Each row is one independent juror. L and Q are the language-model jurors; S is the non-LLM statistical baseline. The aggregated direction above is the majority verdict.
[ PENDING — counterfactual validation runs at verdict.ts + 24h ]
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[ buchiang@v1 // alpha1-sig-3534 ]